Brexit

Brexit 'puts a spanner in the works' for output growth

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) released yesterday a report which focused mainly on the aftermath of the UK's referendum on EU membership in June which, of course, led to the so-called Brexit.


According to the IMF, the UK's decision to leave the EU has 'thrown a spanner in the works' of their global growth forecast. Back in April, it was projected that output in the United Kingdom would increase by 1.9 percent and in 2017, 2.2 percent. In reaction to the economic shockwaves created by the Brexit vote, these projections have been revised down by 0.2 and 0.9 percentage points respectively.


The revision has also had an effect on the global outlook, with forecasts being revised by 0.1 percentage points for each of the coming two years results.

Description

This chart shows the year-on-year output change and projections for the UK and globally in the wake of the Brexit.

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Forecasted effects of Brexit on real gross domestic product in the United Kingdom from 2016 to 2035
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Forecasted change in GDP for selected European countries in 2030 as a result of the UK leaving the EU, by scenario*
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Forecasted long-term effects of Brexit on real GDP in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2030, by scenario
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Estimated impact of UK-EU trade under Hard Brexit scenarios on gross domestic product (GDP) in the United Kingdom (UK) as of 2021
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Losses in the real GDP value of the United Kingdom due to Brexit between 2016 and 2020 (in billions of pounds)
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Forecasted percentage change on a year earlier of gross domestic output gap in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2017 to 2023

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