UK

United Ireland on the Horizon? Sinn Féin Takes Control For First Time

For the first time since the first election of the Northern Ireland Assembly in 1998, the Irish nationalist party Sinn Féin has won more seats than any other party after the vote held on May 5. Sinn Féin aims to reunify Northern Ireland with the Republic of Ireland and is now close to installing party vice-president Michelle O'Neill as first minister.

As our infographic shows, Sinn Féin were just the fourth most-popular party in 1998, taking 18 seats compared to the winning Ulster Unionist Party's 28. Having established itself as the second largest party in the years since, 2022 represents the first time it has gained control of the most seats, and the first time a nationalist party has won since Northern Ireland was founded in 1921.

So does this mean we are now a significant step closer to a united Ireland? O'Neill avoided focusing on this issue during campaigning, instead choosing to prioritize the cost of living crisis. Before we see what her focus is while in office though, the parties have to form an Executive - something which the opposition unionist party the DUP has indicated it may not do with a nationalist first minister such as O'Neill. If no government is formed within six months, new elections will have to take place. What this election does signify however, is a shift towards nationalist politics in Northern Ireland.

Description

This chart shows the number of seats won by Sinn Féin in Northern Ireland Assembly elections compared to the party with the most seats from 1998 to 2022.

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Number of seats won in the Northern Ireland Assembly elections in 2022
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Share of votes in UK general elections in Northern Ireland from 1974 to 2024, by political party
"If a Northern Ireland Assembly Election were to be held tomorrow, which political party would you vote for as first preference?" (August 2022 to July 2026)
Voting intention in a general election in the Republic of Ireland from February 2016 to February 2026
Number of seats won in the Republic of Ireland general election 2024
At the forthcoming Westminister election which political party do you intend to vote for?

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