Technological Advances Place Old Jobs At Risk

According to Bruegel, the impact of new technology on old areas of employment is set to become increasingly important in the long run. It has already shaped labor markets in the past and will continue to do so in the future, especially in Europe. Bruegel defines computerisation as a job that is "potentially automatable over some unspecified number of years, perhaps a decade or two" and they have predicted the likelihood of this occurring in the EU.

Technological advances mainly threaten lower-skill industries with tasks in the service sector becoming especially vulnerable to automation. As a result, countries on the EU's periphery are most at risk of computerisation, given Bruegel's argument that computerisation will impact low-skill and low-wage jobs. However, this may actually be offset by the fact that peripheral EU markets have always been slower to adopt new technology as opposed to Europe's more advanced and less at risk core.

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This chart shows the percentage of jobs vulnerable to computerization/automation in the EU

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Estimated share of jobs at potential high risk of automation in European countries until 2030
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Estimated share of jobs at potential high risk of automation in European countries by 2030, by gender
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Probability of automation of the median job in Europe as of 2018, by country
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Estimated share of jobs at potential high risk of automation by industry in Germany until 2030
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Number of jobs in the United Kingdom (UK) that are at risk of being replaced by automation 2016 (in 1,000 jobs)
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Estimated share of jobs at potential high risk of automation by education level* in the United Kingdom (UK) until 2030

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