Brexit

Brexit's £200 Billion Price Tag

As the UK finally prepares itself to leave the EU at the end of this month, uncertainty brought about by Brexit has taken its toll on the country's economy. New research published by Bloomberg Economics estimates that the divorce process has already cost the UK's economy £130 billion. That figure is expected to rise even further to more than £200 billion by the end of this year.

Dan Hanson, an economist for Bloomberg Economics, says that none of the lost ground is likely to be made up. He said that "looking beyond 2020, we forecast the growth spurt in this year will be a one off - the economy will get a shot in the arm, but the cyclical lift that provides won’t last.“ He went on to say that "as the UK comes to terms with its new trading relationship with the EU and grapples with the productivity challenge that has hindered growth since the financial crisis, the annual cost of Brexit is likely to keep increasing.”

Description

This chart shows cumulative UK real GDP losses due to Brexit by year.

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Losses in the real GDP value of the United Kingdom due to Brexit between 2016 and 2020 (in billions of pounds)
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Forecasted effects of Brexit on real gross domestic product in the United Kingdom from 2016 to 2035
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Forecasted change in GDP for selected European countries in 2030 as a result of the UK leaving the EU, by scenario*
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Forecasted long-term effects of Brexit on real GDP in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2030, by scenario
Estimated net settlement payments from the United Kingdom to the European Union from 2020 to 2064 (in billion GBP)
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Forecasted long-term effects of the Brexit on GBP per household in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2030, by scenario

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