Economic growth

U.S. Economy Sees Sharp Downturn Amid COVID-19 Crisis

After 23 quarters of uninterrupted growth, the U.S. economy contracted for the first time since 2014 in the first three months of 2020. According to the third estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis on Thursday, real GDP declined by 5.0 percent in Q1 2020, unchanged from the second estimate published a month ago. This marks the worst contraction since Q4 2008, when U.S. GDP declined by 8.4 percent at the height of the financial crisis.

Coming amid the COVID-19 crisis that has hit the U.S. economy with full force in late March, the downturn was widely expected and is feared to be a mere taste of worse things to come. Considering that large parts of the country have been on lockdown through all of April and that more than 40 million Americans filed for unemployment benefits during the pandemic, it’s all but certain that things will get worse before they get better.

"The decline in first quarter GDP reflected the response to the spread of COVID-19, as governments issued "stay-at-home" orders in March," the BEA wrote in its official release. "This led to rapid changes in demand, as businesses and schools switched to remote work or canceled operations, and consumers canceled, restricted, or redirected their spending."

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This chart shows quarterly real GDP growth in the United States since 2009.

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Annual growth of real GDP in the United States of America from 1930 to 2025
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Annual nominal GDP and real GDP in the United States from 1929 to 2022 (in billion U.S dollars)
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Global real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth after the coronavirus (COVID-19) from 2019 with a forecast until 2024
Estimated effect on real gross domestic product due to the partial U.S. government shutdown from Q4 2018 to Q3 2019*
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Forecasted percent change in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak in 2020, by country and scenario
Quarterly growth of real gross domestic product (GDP) in the United States from the 3rd quarter of 2013 to the 2nd quarter of 2026

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