U.S. Politics

Would Trump Voters Do the Same in 2020?

Would the momentous 2016 U.S. election be repeated again if another were to be held today? While a number of factors such as turnout rates and the location of the voters would need to be taken into account to make something approaching an accurate prediction, a recent survey commissioned by Fox News has suggested that of those that voted for Trump in 2016, 10 percent now say that they would definitely or probably not do so at the next opportunity. Still, 67 percent are certain that the current president would get their vote for a second term, with an additional 17 percent saying they probably would stick with their 2016 candidate.

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This chart shows how people that voted for Trump in 2016 say they would vote in 2020.

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Share of respondents worldwide who believe Donald Trump will be reelected as President of the United States in 2020, by country
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Who do you think will win the 2020 presidential election?
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Would you say you are mostly voting for Donald Trump or against Joe Biden?
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Share of adults who prefer Donald Trump to leave politics entirely if he loses the election in the United States in 2020
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How enthusiastic were you about voting for president in the 2024 election?

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