Wage Growth

Interest Rates Set to Rise While Wage-Growth Remains Cool

The average worker in the U.S. is over 245 percent more productive than the average worker in 1948, but only gets paid 114 percent more. Despite getting more done at work, the benefits of productivity stopped translating into a higher wage in the ’70s. Since 1973, productivity has grown over 6 times faster than pay.

Using 1948 as a baseline, the Economic Policy Institute compared hourly compensation and productivity on a year to year basis. Up until 1970, productivity and hourly compensation increased in lock step with one other, with increased productivity being reflected in increased hourly compensation. After the mid-‘70’s productivity soared, but, by comparison, hourly compensation stagnated.

Description

This chart shows productivity growth and hourly compensation growth, 1948-2016.

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Average annual labour productivity growth rate in the U.S. manufacturing sector from 1960 to 2013
Productivity in terms of GDP per hour worked in Western European countries in 1913, 1950, and the 1990s (as a share of U.S. productivity)
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Value of the minimum wage if it grew with productivity in the United States from 1968 to 2021 (in 2021 U.S. dollars)
Labor productivity in terms of GDP per hour worked in Western Europe and its three largest economies in select years between 1913 and 1998 (in constant U.S. dollars)
Quarterly percent change in the manufacturing sector productivity in the United States from the first quarter of 2024 to the first quarter of 2026
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Annual average inflation-adjusted median hourly earnings of wage and salary workers paid hourly rates in the United States (in constant 2024 U.S. dollars)

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