OPEC

Oil prices: does Qatar need OPEC?

Qatar announced today that it will be withdrawing from OPEC as of 1 January 2019. While the reasoning behind this move may be more closely related to its relationship with de facto OPEC leader Saudi Arabia and other Arab countries, officially, Qatar is leaving due to a shift of focus to natural gas production. Regardless, as our infographic shows, the IMF projects the price per barrel required by Qatar to break even on its fiscal budget next year to be only $44.5 - compared to $113.8 in Libya and $77.9 in Saudi Arabia and a current oil price of around $61.80. Being a member of an oil cartel in which it holds little or no power, combined with the current political climate, it is little wonder that the Arab state is withdrawing.

Description

This chart shows the estimated oil barrel prices needed to balance domestic budgets of selected OPEC members in 2019.

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Value of breakeven oil price in Qatar from 2000 to 2023 with projections until 2025, by account (in U.S. dollars per barrel)
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Value of breakeven oil price in Kuwait from 2000 to 2023 with projections until 2025, by account (in U.S. dollars per barrel)
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Fiscal breakeven oil prices in the United Arab Emirates from 2000 to 2023 with projection to 2025 (in U.S. dollars per barrel)
Average monthly OPEC basket crude oil price from July 2023 to January 2026 (in U.S. dollars per barrel)
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Average annual OPEC crude oil price from 1960 to 2025 (in U.S. dollars per barrel)
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Fiscal breakeven oil prices in Kuwait from 2017 with projection to 2022 (in U.S. dollars per barrel)

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