Steel

The U.S. States Most Reliant On Steel Imports

Last week, the Trump administration announced it was imposing tariffs on steel and aluminum of 25 and 10 percent respectively. The president has stated the move is necessary on the gounds of national security and in order to fight back against an assault on the U.S. by foreign competitors. Saving American steel and aluminum jobs was one of Trump's pledges on the campaign trail with both industries impacted by the import of cheaper products. Even though it fits perfectly with his "America First" policy, could the move to impost tariffs have ramifications?

It has already caused friction within the Republican Party where there are fears of a trade war and some have questioned whether it will undermine decades of progress in international trade. Protectionism could also have an impact at state level. Although tariffs could provide U.S. steel and aluminum companies with welcome relief in a market flooded with foreign competition, they have already resulted in retaliatory tariffs on key U.S. exports to other countries. High steel prices could also have far-reaching effects on U.S. states, hitting important industries like auto manufacturing and construction.

A Brookings Institute analysis of Census Bureau data reveals the states most likely to be impacted by the new tariffs. Missouri and Louisiana accounted for the highest share of steel and aluminum imports last year at just over 7 percent of total imports. The latter is heavily reliant on imported steel to support its oil, gas and petrochemical industries. Up until now, Canada and Mexico have been excluded from the tariffs but Trump has threatened tp change this depending on the outcome of NAFTA renegotiation talks. The U.S. imported 5.7 million metric tons of steel from Canada last year, the highest of any country, while 3.2 million tons came from Mexico. Despite that, the impact of the tariffs could be severe in certain states with many counting on a far longer list of countries for their steel and aluminum imports. For example, Illinois relies on Brazil for 41 percent of its steel and China for 29 percent of its aluminum.

Description

This chart shows the percentage share of steel and aluminum in state total imports in 2017.

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Projected impact of steel and aluminum tariffs and subsequent retaliations on imports and exports in 2018, by sector*
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Volume of steel and aluminum imports to the United States impacted by tariffs, including projections of the Trump Administration's 25 percent tariffs' impact, as of February 2025 (in million metric tons)
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Forecast short-run changes in the total exports of selected countries and regions based on tariffs of 25 percent on all U.S. steel and aluminum imports, as of March 2025
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Projected overall number of jobs gained or lost as a result of steel and aluminum tariffs and subsequent retaliations in 2018, by state*
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Projected percentage of U.S. steel imports subject to trade laws under the Trump administration's "100 day" action plan in 2017, by major trade partner
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Projected overall number of jobs gained or lost by steel and aluminum tariffs and subsequent retaliations in 2018, by sector *

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