German Election

Merkel Heading Towards Fourth Term

As Germany prepares to head to the polls on Sunday, we take a look at the most recent voting intention survey results. While the pollsters have had a tough time of it over the last couple of years, Chancellor Merkel still looks like a pretty safe bet to get a fourth term. With a 13 percent lead on biggest rival, Martin Schulz of the SDP party, the question occupying most Germans is who Merkel's CDU/CSU party will form a coalition with. A continuation of the current "grand coalition" of CDU and SPD would potentially make the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) the main opposition party in the Bundestag. The latest survey though, has AfD down a couple of points compared to other recent polls.

Statista will be providing live infographic-based coverage of the election on Sunday (in German).

Description

This chart shows voting intention in Germany in September 2017.

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Evolution of voting intentions of German voters in the legislative elections in Germany between October 2017 and February 2025, according to the political party
Estimation of voting intention in the German federal elections as of February 21, 2025
Voting intentions for the German parliament from October 2021 to July 2026
Preferred Chancellor of Germany among voters from December 20, 2024 to February 21, 2025
Gains and losses of political parties at the German general election on September 24, 2017 in comparison to the previous election*
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Desired coalition government in Germany from January 16, 2020 to September 17, 2021

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